Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.7%
Arsenal
16.8%
Draw
7.5%
Tottenham
Expected Goals (xG)
2.54
Arsenal
vs
0.72
Tottenham
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.563.4%
Over 3.541.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.3%
3-0
10.4%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.7%
1-1
8.0%
3-1
7.6%
4-0
6.6%
4-1
4.8%
0-0
4.8%
5-0
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).