Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.9%
Mirandes
25.8%
Draw
37.2%
Sporting Gijón
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Mirandes
vs
1.33
Sporting Gijón
Markets
BTTS53.8%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
0-1
9.5%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
0-0
6.9%
0-2
6.2%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).