Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.8%
Genoa
23.4%
Draw
10.8%
Perugia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Genoa
vs
0.62
Perugia
Markets
BTTS39.7%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.8%
2-0
14.5%
1-1
10.7%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-0
8.9%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
4.3%
4-0
4.1%
1-2
3.0%
2-2
2.8%
4-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).