Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.4%
Almeria
26.0%
Draw
26.5%
Eibar
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Almeria
vs
1.02
Eibar
Markets
BTTS49.1%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.524.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
8.9%
0-1
8.6%
0-0
8.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).