Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.2%
Augsburg
33.1%
Draw
23.7%
St Pauli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Augsburg
vs
0.76
St Pauli
Markets
BTTS37.0%
Over 0.583.9%
Over 1.557.3%
Over 2.529.3%
Over 3.512.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.1%
1-0
16.1%
1-1
14.0%
0-1
10.5%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
4.9%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
3.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).