Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.1%
Hertford Town
12.7%
Draw
9.2%
Harpenden Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.96
Hertford Town
vs
0.95
Harpenden Town
Markets
BTTS58.1%
Over 0.598.2%
Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.574.9%
Over 3.555.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
8.7%
3-0
8.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-0
6.4%
4-1
6.1%
1-0
6.1%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.0%
3-2
3.9%
5-0
3.8%
5-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).