Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.2%
Boavista
26.4%
Draw
39.4%
Estrela
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Boavista
vs
1.26
Estrela
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
0-1
11.9%
1-0
10.9%
0-0
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.4%
0-3
3.0%
3-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).