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22 Feb 2026 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.6%
Genk
28.9%
Draw
23.5%
Standard

Expected Goals (xG)

1.35

Genk

vs
0.86

Standard

Markets

BTTS43.3%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.3%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
11.4%
2-0
9.9%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.1%
3-1
3.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-2
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).