Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.1%
Solihull
23.3%
Draw
43.6%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Solihull
vs
1.92
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS70.0%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.588.1%
Over 2.569.5%
Over 3.548.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
7.4%
2-2
7.1%
1-3
5.5%
0-2
5.1%
0-1
4.6%
2-3
4.5%
3-1
4.1%
3-2
3.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-0
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).