Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.1%
Como
27.4%
Draw
28.5%
Atalanta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Como
vs
1.00
Atalanta
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.520.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.2%
1-1
12.8%
0-1
10.1%
0-0
9.7%
2-0
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-0
3.8%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).