Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.8%
Ipswich
23.4%
Draw
12.8%
Oxford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Ipswich
vs
0.71
Oxford
Markets
BTTS43.6%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.5%
2-0
13.3%
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.6%
3-0
8.2%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
4.6%
4-0
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-2
3.3%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).