Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →5.6%
AVS
13.7%
Draw
80.7%
Sp Braga
Expected Goals (xG)
0.62
AVS
vs
2.69
Sp Braga
Markets
BTTS43.3%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.564.3%
Over 3.542.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.3%
0-3
11.9%
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.2%
0-4
8.0%
1-3
7.3%
1-1
6.5%
1-4
4.9%
0-5
4.3%
0-0
4.1%
1-5
2.7%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).