Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.9%
Fiorentina
26.3%
Draw
19.7%
Cremonese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Fiorentina
vs
0.76
Cremonese
Markets
BTTS40.7%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.518.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
11.6%
0-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.5%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
2-2
3.3%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).