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31 Aug 2025 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.5%
Cadiz
28.1%
Draw
32.4%
Albacete

Expected Goals (xG)

1.22

Cadiz

vs
1.07

Albacete

Markets

BTTS46.1%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.519.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
1-0
12.5%
0-1
11.0%
0-0
10.0%
2-1
8.0%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).