Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.7%
Brackley Town
29.5%
Draw
48.9%
Forest Green
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Brackley Town
vs
1.40
Forest Green
Markets
BTTS44.1%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.519.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.8%
1-1
13.6%
0-0
11.6%
0-2
10.4%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-0
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
2-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).