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AHT: 02CSV

21 Apr 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.0%
Hansa Rostock
26.5%
Draw
50.5%
Magdeburg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.06

Hansa Rostock

vs
1.67

Magdeburg

Markets

BTTS54.3%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.551.5%
Over 3.529.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.6%
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
9.1%
0-0
7.6%
2-1
6.1%
1-0
5.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-2
5.1%
0-3
5.1%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).