Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.3%
Djurgården
12.9%
Draw
7.8%
Värnamo
Expected Goals (xG)
3.20
Djurgården
vs
1.01
Värnamo
Markets
BTTS61.6%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.592.8%
Over 2.579.2%
Over 3.560.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
8.2%
3-0
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
2-0
7.6%
4-1
6.6%
4-0
6.5%
1-1
5.3%
1-0
4.2%
5-1
4.2%
3-2
4.2%
5-0
4.1%
2-2
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).