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HHT: 20CSV

27 Dec 2025 · 20:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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67.2%
Estoril
16.8%
Draw
16.0%
Alverca

Expected Goals (xG)

2.50

Estoril

vs
1.15

Alverca

Markets

BTTS62.4%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.587.6%
Over 2.570.7%
Over 3.549.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.8%
1-1
7.1%
1-0
6.8%
3-0
6.8%
2-2
5.4%
4-1
4.9%
3-2
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
4-0
4.2%
0-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).