Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.7%
Carrarese
28.1%
Draw
45.3%
Pisa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Carrarese
vs
1.51
Pisa
Markets
BTTS53.4%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
8.5%
0-2
8.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.8%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).