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DHT: 21CSV

27 Oct 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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57.9%
Waregem
23.4%
Draw
18.7%
Mouscron

Expected Goals (xG)

1.89

Waregem

vs
0.99

Mouscron

Markets

BTTS53.8%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.532.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.1%
2-0
10.1%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
6.3%
0-0
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
0-1
4.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-0
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).