Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.0%
Sp Braga
17.9%
Draw
10.1%
Vitória Guimarães
Expected Goals (xG)
2.38
Sp Braga
vs
0.80
Vitória Guimarães
Markets
BTTS50.6%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.561.6%
Over 3.539.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
9.4%
1-0
9.3%
1-1
8.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-0
5.6%
0-0
4.8%
4-1
4.5%
2-2
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).