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HHT: 30CSV

20 May 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.1%
Sevilla
26.3%
Draw
37.6%
Osasuna

Expected Goals (xG)

1.34

Sevilla

vs
1.37

Osasuna

Markets

BTTS55.3%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.5%
0-1
8.9%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
0-0
6.9%
0-2
6.3%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).