Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.4%
Magdeburg
24.3%
Draw
36.3%
Nurnberg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Magdeburg
vs
1.68
Nurnberg
Markets
BTTS68.3%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.566.8%
Over 3.545.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
8.0%
2-2
7.0%
2-0
5.0%
3-1
4.9%
1-0
4.7%
0-2
4.5%
0-1
4.5%
1-3
4.5%
0-0
4.1%
3-2
4.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).