Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.5%
Chasetown
29.2%
Draw
34.2%
Manchester City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Chasetown
vs
1.02
Manchester City
Markets
BTTS41.5%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.561.2%
Over 2.534.6%
Over 3.515.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
0-1
13.1%
1-1
13.1%
0-0
12.0%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
7.0%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-1
2.6%
3-0
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).