Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.8%
Sampdoria
31.6%
Draw
28.6%
Carrarese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Sampdoria
vs
0.99
Carrarese
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.517.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
12.5%
1-0
12.2%
0-1
9.7%
2-0
8.1%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
4.0%
3-0
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).