Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.7%
Portimonense
23.1%
Draw
38.1%
Casa Pia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Portimonense
vs
1.51
Casa Pia
Markets
BTTS60.6%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.536.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
7.8%
0-1
7.7%
2-2
6.4%
2-0
5.6%
0-2
5.5%
3-1
4.3%
0-0
4.3%
1-3
4.2%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).