Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.0%
Fiorentina
25.9%
Draw
23.0%
Venezia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Fiorentina
vs
0.90
Venezia
Markets
BTTS45.5%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.0%
1-1
12.1%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
9.1%
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).