Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.5%
Bastia
35.1%
Draw
30.5%
Ajaccio
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Bastia
vs
0.70
Ajaccio
Markets
BTTS26.1%
Over 0.578.1%
Over 1.542.3%
Over 2.518.5%
Over 3.56.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
21.9%
1-0
18.7%
0-1
17.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
5.7%
2-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
3-0
1.7%
2-2
1.7%
0-3
1.3%
3-1
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).