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17 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.4%
Mulbarton Wanderers
28.1%
Draw
44.5%
Gorleston

Expected Goals (xG)

0.91

Mulbarton Wanderers

vs
1.25

Gorleston

Markets

BTTS42.1%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.563.0%
Over 2.536.5%
Over 3.517.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.9%
1-1
12.7%
0-0
11.2%
1-0
10.9%
0-2
9.0%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
4.8%
0-3
3.7%
2-2
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).