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27 Dec 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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62.8%
Liverpool
23.3%
Draw
13.9%
Wolverhampton Wanderers

Expected Goals (xG)

2.01

Liverpool

vs
0.86

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Markets

BTTS51.5%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.532.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.4%
1-1
11.1%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
7.7%
0-0
7.0%
3-1
6.6%
2-2
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
4-0
3.9%
0-1
3.5%
4-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).