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AHT: 11CSV

06 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.6%
Schalke 04
20.8%
Draw
58.6%
Ein Frankfurt

Expected Goals (xG)

1.32

Schalke 04

vs
2.29

Ein Frankfurt

Markets

BTTS66.5%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.588.1%
Over 2.569.9%
Over 3.548.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.4%
1-1
8.8%
1-3
7.1%
0-2
7.1%
2-2
6.2%
0-1
5.6%
0-3
5.4%
2-1
5.4%
2-3
4.7%
1-4
4.1%
0-0
3.3%
0-4
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).