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DHT: 10CSV

27 Sept 2024 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.5%
Martigues
21.7%
Draw
59.8%
Dunkerque

Expected Goals (xG)

0.82

Martigues

vs
1.73

Dunkerque

Markets

BTTS45.1%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.4%
0-2
11.7%
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.6%
1-0
7.3%
0-0
6.9%
0-3
6.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-1
4.6%
2-2
3.9%
0-4
2.9%
2-0
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).