Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.5%
Brest
21.9%
Draw
44.6%
Marseille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Brest
vs
1.84
Marseille
Markets
BTTS66.4%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.585.2%
Over 2.566.2%
Over 3.544.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.5%
2-2
6.9%
0-1
6.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-0
5.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-3
4.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.9%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).