Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.7%
Real Madrid
17.7%
Draw
9.6%
Crowborough Athletic
Expected Goals (xG)
2.23
Real Madrid
vs
0.68
Crowborough Athletic
Markets
BTTS44.1%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.533.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.6%
1-0
12.0%
3-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
1-1
8.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-0
5.6%
0-0
5.6%
4-1
3.8%
0-1
3.5%
2-2
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).