Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.9%
Nurnberg
18.7%
Draw
12.4%
Erzgebirge Aue
Expected Goals (xG)
2.44
Nurnberg
vs
0.97
Erzgebirge Aue
Markets
BTTS57.5%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.586.2%
Over 2.566.2%
Over 3.544.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
1-1
8.6%
3-0
8.0%
3-1
7.8%
1-0
7.3%
4-0
4.9%
4-1
4.7%
2-2
4.6%
0-0
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
3-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).