Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.8%
Stevenage
26.6%
Draw
26.6%
Salford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Stevenage
vs
0.94
Salford
Markets
BTTS44.6%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.519.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
1-1
12.3%
0-1
10.1%
0-0
9.6%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).