Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.2%
Mansfield
16.5%
Draw
12.3%
Carlisle
Expected Goals (xG)
2.38
Mansfield
vs
0.87
Carlisle
Markets
BTTS52.4%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.563.0%
Over 3.540.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.0%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.7%
1-1
7.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-0
5.2%
4-1
4.5%
2-2
4.2%
0-1
3.7%
0-0
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).