Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.5%
Motherwell
18.3%
Draw
7.3%
St Johnstone
Expected Goals (xG)
2.14
Motherwell
vs
0.53
St Johnstone
Markets
BTTS36.6%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.9%
1-0
14.4%
3-0
11.4%
2-1
8.4%
1-1
8.3%
0-0
7.5%
4-0
6.1%
3-1
6.0%
4-1
3.2%
0-1
3.1%
5-0
2.6%
2-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).