Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.9%
Leganes
25.8%
Draw
29.3%
Sevilla
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Leganes
vs
1.21
Sevilla
Markets
BTTS55.8%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
2-0
7.6%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).