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06 Aug 2023 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.1%
Nurnberg
25.6%
Draw
40.3%
Hannover

Expected Goals (xG)

1.51

Nurnberg

vs
1.65

Hannover

Markets

BTTS63.9%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.583.4%
Over 2.561.1%
Over 3.538.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.0%
2-2
6.6%
0-1
6.0%
0-2
5.8%
1-0
5.4%
0-0
5.3%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.8%
3-1
4.0%
2-3
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).