Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.0%
Forest Green
29.4%
Draw
35.6%
Southend
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Forest Green
vs
1.24
Southend
Markets
BTTS51.1%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.523.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
0-0
9.6%
0-1
9.5%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.5%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).