Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.9%
Arsenal
22.7%
Draw
9.4%
Nottingham Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Arsenal
vs
0.60
Nottingham Forest
Markets
BTTS39.9%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.525.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.8%
1-0
14.1%
1-1
10.5%
3-0
9.6%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-0
4.6%
0-1
3.5%
4-1
2.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).