Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.7%
Andorra
26.2%
Draw
26.1%
Ponferradina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Andorra
vs
1.00
Ponferradina
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.523.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
9.1%
0-1
8.7%
0-0
8.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).