Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.4%
Dunfermline
34.6%
Draw
45.0%
Kilmarnock
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
Dunfermline
vs
1.19
Kilmarnock
Markets
BTTS37.7%
Over 0.583.1%
Over 1.558.8%
Over 2.529.8%
Over 3.512.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.9%
0-1
15.6%
1-1
14.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
4.6%
0-3
4.1%
2-0
3.9%
1-3
3.0%
2-2
2.7%
0-4
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).