Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.5%
Harrogate
22.4%
Draw
61.1%
Milton Keynes Dons
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Harrogate
vs
1.74
Milton Keynes Dons
Markets
BTTS43.6%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.524.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.7%
0-2
12.4%
1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
7.7%
0-3
7.2%
1-0
6.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-1
4.2%
2-2
3.6%
0-4
3.1%
2-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).