Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.4%
Wrexham
24.2%
Draw
24.4%
QPR
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Wrexham
vs
1.25
QPR
Markets
BTTS61.5%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.560.8%
Over 3.538.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
7.7%
1-0
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
3-1
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.2%
3-0
4.9%
0-1
4.6%
3-2
3.8%
0-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).