Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.4%
Bologna
21.8%
Draw
14.9%
Spezia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Bologna
vs
0.75
Spezia
Markets
BTTS44.0%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.1%
2-0
12.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
7.8%
0-0
7.4%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.8%
1-2
3.9%
4-0
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).