Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.2%
Burnley
25.0%
Draw
9.8%
Coventry
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Burnley
vs
0.49
Coventry
Markets
BTTS31.9%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.563.7%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.7%
2-0
16.0%
0-0
12.6%
1-1
10.3%
3-0
8.8%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
5.0%
3-1
4.3%
4-0
3.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-2
1.9%
4-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).