Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.9%
Fuenlabrada
24.7%
Draw
48.4%
Malaga
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Fuenlabrada
vs
1.59
Malaga
Markets
BTTS53.6%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.551.0%
Over 3.528.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.6%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
5.0%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).