Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.6%
Swindon
24.0%
Draw
28.4%
Grimsby
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Swindon
vs
1.15
Grimsby
Markets
BTTS53.5%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.1%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).